Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 25.399991 29.321854 33.557675 38.461401 43.970282 49.955966 56.939646
2025-02-02 20.422643 26.276632 33.186952 41.887489 52.485541 64.908287 80.498329
2025-02-09 16.324198 22.939229 31.324164 42.597680 57.205175 75.325524 99.312028
2025-02-16 13.286334 20.152028 29.401186 42.540648 60.454191 83.717358 115.848324
2025-02-23 10.950248 17.801388 27.549662 42.087978 62.803870 90.782316 130.839261
2025-03-02 9.201982 15.950599 26.045965 41.776594 65.089273 97.677740 145.812994
2025-03-09 7.810300 14.386645 24.697231 41.427965 67.128046 104.187936 160.475728
2025-03-16 6.252212 12.280252 22.206786 39.002225 65.761561 105.576587 167.756556
2025-03-23 5.669389 11.728596 22.106499 40.255998 70.010501 115.368831 187.737349
2025-03-30 5.246213 11.389101 22.298343 41.960963 75.038307 126.569493 210.366557
2025-04-06 4.487738 10.295394 21.042209 41.079157 75.767483 131.119926 223.029153
2025-04-13 3.712437 9.032732 19.314367 39.173275 74.587442 132.502771 230.730020
2025-04-20 3.535366 9.010622 19.957097 41.686218 81.326284 147.375382 261.210668
2025-04-27 3.482351 9.259401 21.169718 45.399402 90.505094 166.914660 300.481223
2025-05-04 3.124921 8.763203 20.841427 46.168764 94.501949 178.044459 326.601663
2025-05-11 2.740016 8.125842 20.132772 46.109203 96.952810 186.647334 348.921273
2025-05-18 2.375375 7.460771 19.267058 45.624279 98.532337 193.773924 369.035178
2025-05-25 2.072752 6.889095 18.521766 45.290530 100.338400 201.352405 390.242755
2025-06-01 1.808693 6.362179 17.800253 44.916779 102.007516 208.734308 411.413800
2025-06-08 1.456060 5.495443 16.143153 42.315324 98.999960 207.344557 416.905297
2025-06-15 1.355706 5.360014 16.252716 43.660108 104.106908 221.286068 450.584297
2025-06-22 1.286180 5.306906 16.562552 45.488190 110.332673 237.635927 489.339608
2025-06-29 1.103890 4.839297 15.726680 44.542799 110.617317 242.613021 507.329375